Agricultural & Development Economics
Over 15 years of applied economics at the intersection of farming livelihoods, climate adaptation, and policy reform — across Africa, Southeast Asia, and Latin America.
Agricultural and rural development programs rarely fail for lack of good intentions — they fail for lack of rigorous economic evidence about what actually works, for whom, and at what cost. Profit Logic Consultancy brings applied agricultural and development economics expertise to exactly that gap, with field experience spanning more than a dozen countries — including Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Ethiopia, Ghana, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Eswatini, and Mongolia — and engagements for governments, research institutions, and donor-funded programs.
Where We Add Value
Climate-Smart Agriculture Economics
Ex-ante and ex-post cost-benefit analysis of climate-smart practices, tested across 11+ countries in Africa and Asia and used to guide donor investment decisions.
Agroforestry & Land-Use Assessment
Evaluating the costs, benefits, and trade-offs of tree-based and mixed land-use systems, from Mongolian rangelands to East African croplands.
Smallholder Innovation Adoption
Examining the socio-economic and structural drivers behind whether farmers actually take up new agricultural technologies — not just whether they should.
Value Chains & Circular Bioeconomy
Mapping value chains from farm-gate to market, including circular business models that convert agricultural by-products into new revenue streams.
Agricultural Policy & Investment Appraisal
Modelling the likely economic outcomes of policy or investment choices before they're implemented, backed by a CBA methodology adopted by the World Bank and USAID.
Household & Farm-Level Economic Modelling
Applying non-separable agricultural household models to analyze market access, risk exposure, and dietary diversity at the farm-household level.
Grounded in Peer-Reviewed Research
This isn't advisory work built on templates — it's grounded in research that has been through academic peer review:
Led a financial cost-benefit analysis study on climate-smart investment risk across 11 countries in Africa and Asia, testing whether risk and uncertainty are a genuine constraint to investment or a red herring.
Climate Risk Management, 2025
Authored an agent-based cost-benefit analysis framework for climate-smart agriculture in Kenya, modelling smallholder adoption decisions with Monte Carlo simulation across three nested scales, results expressed in KES per hectare with a full equity-weighting analysis.
Climate Risk Management — Under Review
Co-authored research on circular business models for whey valorization in the Kenyan dairy sector, turning a processing by-product into a viable revenue stream.
Discover Sustainability, 2025
Led an economic potential analysis of climate-smart agriculture and risk management strategies in Rwanda, unpacking pathways to national resilience.
Scientific African, 2025
Contributed to research on carbon sequestration dynamics and ecosystem service valuation in the Borana Rangeland, Southern Ethiopia, bridging ecology and carbon finance.
Carbon Research (Springer), 2026
Lead role on the cost-benefit analysis component of a study on socio-ecological drivers of agricultural innovation uptake among Kenyan smallholder farmers.
International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability, 2025
Applied Consulting & Program Delivery
Alongside published research, this expertise has been delivered directly to governments and donor programs:
Economist/CBA expert for the Economic Appraisal of Adaptation Options in Eswatini (UNEP–OIKO funded), delivering a full cost-benefit analysis, Excel models, and a policy-focused decision summary.
Served as CBA modelling consultant for Mongolia's National Adaptation Plan (NAP) process (UNEP-funded, delivered by OIKO), developing the cost-benefit analysis system used in the process, plus a separate cost-benefit model evaluating four agroforestry models for Darkhan-Uul Province.
Principal Investigator for a business case on Ethiopian Livestock Management Improvement for USAID's CEADIR program, delivered with Crown Agents USA and Abt Associates.
Who This Is For
Ready to discuss an agricultural or development economics engagement?
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